3

Oppenheimer

3yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 60

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE RACING LEGACY Handicap (0-60) · 7f

#12

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

At least matched debut form when seventh of 20 in handicap at the Curragh (6f, good) in May, finishing with more to give. Should be suited by the step up to 7f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 17/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 6f110y Gd 13017/07C8C8 @ Curragh 09/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f Gd 1339/08C8C8 @ Naas 18/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 13118/09C8BHA65 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 21 · OR 65 · 6f Sft 124 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 65 par19/0465OR 65BHA64 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 64 · 6f Gd 124 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 64 par4/0564OR 64projClass-projected finish: 4th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-04CurraghBHA647th7th0
2026-04-19CurraghBHA6511th11th0
2025-09-18Naas?7th7th0
2025-08-09Curragh?8th8th0
2025-07-17Leopardstown?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/079/0818/0919/044/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/202511th11/142%23%-0.19
09/08/20258th100/10%22%+0.22
18/09/20257th25/10%45%+0.45
19/04/202611th20/10%50%+0.50
04/05/20267th10/147%68%+0.21