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2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 98

Gowran Park · Coolmore Stud Churchill Stakes (Listed) · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

30%

Place Prob

34%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Left debut effort well behind when winning a 9-runner maiden at Bellewstown in July. Improved again when close second to Venetian Power in minor event at Killarney (1m, good, 3/1) 12 days later. Can go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f Sft 13219/06C8C8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f195y Gd 1293/07C8C0 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m40y Gd 13215/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Killarney?2nd2nd0
2026-07-03Bellewstown?1st10th−7
2026-06-19Down Royal?6th15th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/063/0715/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength87%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20266th5/174%58%-0.15
03/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
15/07/20262nd3/184%75%-0.09