6
Sea Of Rain
2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 86
Gowran Park · Coolmore Stud Churchill Stakes (Listed) · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲7
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Leopardstown | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | ? | 3rd | 12th | −7 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 4th | 13th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 93% | -0.01 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 82% | -0.04 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |