IvyArcIvyArc
4

Venetian Power

2yo Colt · 9-5

Gowran Park · Coolmore Stud Churchill Stakes (Listed) · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed promise amidst clear inexperience when 6 lengths fourth to Giant Sequoia in maiden at Curragh on debut in June and built on that when winning 5-runner minor event at Killarney (1m, good, 9/2) 18 days later from Full Volume. Looks capable of holding his own at a higher level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -7.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f GF 13127/06C8C0 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m40y Gd 13415/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Killarney?1st1st0
2026-06-27Curragh?4th13th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0615/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength93%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
15/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24