1

Benevento
4yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 98
Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE COMMUNITY CHAMPIONS Race · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA100 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Lingfield | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Chester | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Newmarket | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-04-16 | Newmarket | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 13/09/2024 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 26/10/2024 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 16/04/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/05/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 21/06/2025 | 14th | 20/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 12/07/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |