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3

Celtic Motif

4yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 92

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE COMMUNITY CHAMPIONS Race · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

1/5

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finally off the mark back with former yard when readily landing the odds in 5-runner maiden at Killarney (1m, good) last month. Tongue tie worn that day retained and could well kick on now up and running. Engaged 6.00 Leopardstown Thursday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Curragh 10/08/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f Goo 12310/08C?C8 @ Naas 25/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 7f Goo 127C0 @ Curragh 28/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 12628/09C?1 @ Curragh 22/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m Sft 128C6 @ Gulfstream 09/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 96 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark09/02/2025 · OR 96 par9/02C6OR 96C1 @ Tampa Bay Downs 08/03/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 96 · 1m110y Fm 119 · beat its mark08/03/2025 · OR 96 parC6 @ Belmont At The Big A 02/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 94 · 1m Fm 120 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 94 par2/11C6OR 94C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 10/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 94 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 94 parC8 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 92 · 1m30y Gd 130 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 92 par14/07C8OR 92projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Killarney?1st1st0
2026-01-10Tampa Bay Downs?3rd3rd0
2025-11-02Belmont At The Big A?2nd2nd0
2025-03-08Tampa Bay Downs?10th10th0
2025-02-09Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2024-10-22Curragh13rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0822/102/1114/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength69%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/08/20243rd20/10%78%+0.78
25/08/20242nd9/276%93%+0.17
28/09/20243rd16/116%85%+0.69
22/10/20243rd7/163%80%+0.17
09/02/20252nd10/1195%89%-0.06
08/03/202510th16/116%10%-0.06
02/11/20252nd9/488%89%+0.01
10/01/20263rd5/696%80%-0.16
14/07/20261st1/599%100%+0.01