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Rahmi

7yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 100

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE COMMUNITY CHAMPIONS Race · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Produced a smart effort when winning premier handicap at Leopardstown in September last year. Yet to fire this season, though, essentially blowing his chance at the start in a race where it paid to be handy in a Fairyhouse handicap last month. Returns to 1m for the first time since 2024.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA95 @ Gowran Park 21/09/2024 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 95 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark21/09/2024 · OR 95 par21/0995OR 95BHA94 @ Naas 12/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 94 · 7f Yie 138 · beat its mark12/10/2024 · OR 94 par1 @ Cork 14/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 102 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 102 par14/081OR 102BHA103 @ Leopardstown 13/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 103 · 7f Goo 140 · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 103 par2 @ Ascot 04/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 112 · 7f Sft 140 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 112 par4/102OR 1121 @ Curragh 28/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 111 · 7f Sft 135 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 111 par1 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 110 · 7f Goo 137 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 110 par17/051OR 110BHA106 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 106 · 7f Gd 141 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 106 parBHA102 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 102 · 7f Goo 142 · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 102 par8/07102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08FairyhouseBHA1026th6th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA10615th15th0
2026-05-17Naas18th8th0
2026-03-28Curragh19th9th0
2025-10-04Ascot26th6th0
2025-09-13LeopardstownBHA1031st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0913/0917/058/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20243rd6/594%50%-0.44
12/10/20241st15/261%100%+0.39
14/08/20254th18/15%50%+0.45
13/09/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
04/10/20256th12/137%64%+0.27
28/03/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
17/05/20268th16/116%0%-0.16
14/06/202615th18/15%0%-0.05
08/07/20266th9/276%17%-0.60