1
Gatsby Grey
10yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 72
Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap · 1m 4f 100y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA110 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | BHA114 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-12 | Limerick | BHA114 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-26 | Limerick | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Clonmel | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Thurles | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2023 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 05/03/2023 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 15/04/2023 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 81% | +0.55 |
| 27/04/2023 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 13/07/2023 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 03/11/2024 | 18th | 80/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 20/11/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/12/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |