5

Monntie

4yo Filly · 11-0 · OR 63

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap · 1m 4f 100y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced 4-y-o. Offered something to work with in Flat maidens (fair form) for previous yard last summer. Couple of hurdle starts last month suggest she's in form and one to note for support now handicapping back on the level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 07/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f30y Yie 1297/06C8C8 @ Limerick 12/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f70y Gd 12912/07C8C8 @ Tramore 16/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m4f Goo 12916/08C8C8 @ Bellewstown 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 2m1f30y Yie 14618/04C8C8 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f60y Goo 15410/07C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 24/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m2f200y Gd 14624/07C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?5th5th0
2026-07-10Cork?4th4th0
2026-04-18Bellewstown?2nd2nd0
2025-08-16Tramore?3rd3rd0
2025-07-12Limerick?8th8th0
2025-06-07Navan?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0612/0716/0818/0410/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20254th66/10%77%+0.77
12/07/20258th14/126%0%-0.26
16/08/20253rd18/15%50%+0.45
18/04/20262nd50/10%93%+0.93
10/07/20264th9/153%77%+0.24
24/07/20265th10/382%71%-0.11