5

Monntie
4yo Filly · 11-0 · OR 63
Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap · 1m 4f 100y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Limerick | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Navan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength92%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 12/07/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |