3
Pahlavi
9yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 70
Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE COMMITMENT TO IRISH RACING (Ladies) Handicap · 1m 4f 100y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA97 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-29 | Stratford | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA100 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Wexford | BHA102 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Limerick | BHA104 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength31%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 26/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 53% | +0.16 |
| 18/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 21/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |