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Ancestor

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Haydock · Zyn Pole Position EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 42y

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sea The Stars gelding who was all the wiser with his debut behind him when winning at Yarmouth (1¼m, firm) 30 days ago. That form has been boosted and he'll be very hard to beat if improving again as anticipated.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Salisbury 14/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f201y Goo 12714/0533 @ Yarmouth 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m2f23y GF 1328/073projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Yarmouth31st1st0
2026-05-14Salisbury34th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/058/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 3
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 3. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20264th10/382%40%-0.42
08/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63