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8yo Mare · 10-10 · OR 69

Haydock · Zyn In The Moment Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

62%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

0-13 since a 2m course success in August 2024 but a return to winning ways may not be far away after a pair of good runner-up efforts in recent months. Considered.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength54%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 25/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 83 · 1m3f39y Sft 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/06/2025 · OR 83 par25/064OR 834 @ Carlisle 12/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 80 · 1m6f32y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2025 · OR 80 par4 @ Chester 30/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 82 · 1m7f196y Goo 139 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 82 par30/084OR 824 @ York 11/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 80 · 2m56y Gd 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 80 par4 @ Catterick 28/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 78 · 1m4f13y Sft 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 78 par28/104OR 784 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 75 · 1m3f188y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 75 par3 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 72 · 2m13y Goo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 72 par31/053OR 725 @ Catterick 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 70 · 1m7f189y GF 135 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Musselburgh 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 69 · 1m7f217y Gd 129 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 69 par31/075OR 69projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Musselburgh52nd2nd0
2026-06-22Catterick52nd2nd0
2026-05-31Thirsk36th4th+2
2026-05-13York411th10th+1
2025-10-28Catterick43rd2nd+1
2025-10-11York412th11th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0611/1031/0531/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20258th16/116%13%-0.03
12/08/20252nd11/486%86%+0.00
30/08/20256th5/174%29%-0.45
11/10/202512th12/137%27%-0.10
28/10/20253rd7/282%71%-0.10
13/05/202611th40/10%38%+0.38
31/05/20266th14/126%58%+0.32
22/06/20262nd10/382%67%-0.16
31/07/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01