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Clansman

8yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 71

Haydock · Zyn In The Moment Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

31%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won on all-weather at Newcastle (12.5f) and Southwell (2m) in the spring and probably worth forgiving a lesser run in a competitive Class 2 back at Newcastle in June. Multiple turf winner but on much softer ground than he's likely to face here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ripon 29/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 72 · 1m4f10y GS 132 · beat its mark29/05/2025 · OR 72 par29/055OR 724 @ Hamilton 15/06/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 70 · 1m3f15y GS 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2025 · OR 70 par5 @ Newcastle 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 68 · 1m4f98y Std 138 · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 68 par9/015OR 685 @ Newcastle 15/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 67 · 2m56y Std 140 · beat its mark15/02/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Newcastle 12/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 66 · 1m4f98y Std 134 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 66 par12/035OR 665 @ Southwell 07/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 69 · 1m6f21y Std 129 · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Newcastle 20/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 69 · 1m4f98y Std 129 · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 69 par20/045OR 695 @ Southwell 29/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 69 · 2m102y Std 131 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 69 par2 @ Newcastle 27/06/2026 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR 71 · 2m56y Sta 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 71 par27/062OR 71projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Newcastle217th13th+3
2026-04-29Southwell51st1st0
2026-04-20Newcastle53rd3rd0
2026-04-07Southwell53rd3rd0
2026-03-12Newcastle51st1st0
2026-02-15Newcastle52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0515/0220/0427/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength4%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20255th10/147%56%+0.08
15/06/202511th18/15%23%+0.18
09/01/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71
15/02/20262nd17/255%75%+0.20
12/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
07/04/20263rd4/179%33%-0.46
20/04/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
29/04/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
27/06/202617th50/10%16%+0.16