1
Dream Harder
7yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 72
Haydock · Zyn In The Moment Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength74%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-11-17 | Newcastle | 2 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-11-03 | Kempton | 2 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 21/09/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/09/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 38% | -0.34 |
| 03/11/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 17/11/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |