7
Edward Sexton
6yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 65
Haydock · Zyn In The Moment Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Kempton | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-10-03 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Kempton | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-01 | Punchestown | BHA113 | −6 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2024 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 07/02/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 17/03/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 27/08/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 25/03/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 20/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |