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2

Fast Fred

6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 75

Haydock · Zyn In The Moment Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Proved better than ever when scoring at Musselburgh (12.5f) in April and has continued in good heart since, creditable second of 8 in handicap at Chester (12.3f, good to firm) 27 days ago, just failing. Can make presence felt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength69%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 21/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 72 · 2m56y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 72 par21/084OR 725 @ Chester 20/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 71 · 1m6f87y Hvy 139 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Newcastle 12/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 70 · 1m4f98y Std 138 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 70 par12/035OR 704 @ Musselburgh 12/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 71 · 1m4f104y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 71 par4 @ Musselburgh 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 75 · 1m4f104y Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 75 par26/044OR 754 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m3f15y Gd 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m4f8y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 77 par31/054OR 772 @ Newcastle 27/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 20 · OR 77 · 2m56y Sta 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 77 par5 @ Chester 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 1m4f63y Goo 135 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 75 par11/075OR 75projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Chester52nd2nd0
2026-06-27Newcastle213th9th+3
2026-05-31Thirsk44th3rd+1
2026-05-17Hamilton48th7th+1
2026-04-26Musselburgh42nd1st+1
2026-04-12Musselburgh41st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0812/0431/0511/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength80%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20256th16/116%62%+0.46
20/09/20256th11/271%58%-0.13
12/03/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
12/04/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
26/04/20262nd3/184%88%+0.03
17/05/20268th11/486%22%-0.63
31/05/20264th10/147%73%+0.25
27/06/202613th16/116%37%+0.21
11/07/20262nd3/184%86%+0.02