8
Havachoc
4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 58
Haydock · Zyn In The Moment Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Beverley | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Chester | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Newcastle | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Beverley | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 31/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 83% | -0.11 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |