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Casino Star

2yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 77

Haydock · Zyn Pacesetter Cup Nursery · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Edged out by last week's Molecomb third Hell of A Spin in 5f Hamilton maiden (good to firm) 4 weeks ago. If that form is viewed literally he's well treated off an opening mark of 77.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hamilton 10/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 6f6y Goo 13010/0642 @ York 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS27/0624 @ Hamilton 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f7y Goo 13311/074projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Hamilton42nd3rd−1
2026-06-27York26th5th+1
2026-06-10Hamilton42nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0627/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength64%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/06/20262nd9/276%75%-0.01
27/06/20266th6/492%50%-0.42
11/07/20262nd2/189%80%-0.09