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Dance A Jig

2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 88

Haydock · Zyn Pacesetter Cup Nursery · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Naval Crown colt who finished runner-up over 5f on first 2 outings but was beaten before stamina should have been an issue over 6f in Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot. Freshened up ahead of this switch to a nursery.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.6
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 5f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS28/0322 @ Ascot 01/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR - · 5f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS1/0521 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 23rd of 25 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS17/061projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-17Royal Ascot123th20th+2
2026-05-01Ascot22nd1st+1
2026-03-28Doncaster22nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/031/0517/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/03/20262nd6/168%93%+0.24
01/05/20262nd15/890%50%-0.40
17/06/202623rd12/137%8%-0.29