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5

Rotelle

2yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 78

Haydock · Zyn Pacesetter Cup Nursery · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Beat a subsequent winner with something up his sleeve when making a successful debut at Nottingham (5f) in early-April. Off 4 months (gelded), met trouble at a crucial stage when eighth of 14 at Newcastle (6f) 13 days ago. Worth another chance to show he's capable of better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 5f8y Goo 1338/0454 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 6f Sta 13725/074projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Newcastle48th9th−1
2026-04-08Nottingham51st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0425/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
25/07/20268th9/276%46%-0.30