5

Expensive Luxury

2yo Filly · 8-13

Haydock · Zyn Strong Stride EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

20/1, sixth of 8 in maiden (20/1) at Wolverhampton (6f) on debut 21 days ago. Syndicale looks very much the Karl Burke number one.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f20y Std 12517/074
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Wolverhampton46th7th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength14%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20266th20/10%29%+0.29