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6

Freshwater

2yo Filly · 8-13

Haydock · Zyn Strong Stride EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 212y

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

2/1, not seen to best effect when 8 lengths fifth of 10 in maiden at Catterick (7f, good to firm) on debut 16 days ago, left poorly placed after early interference. Evidently thought capable of better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Catterick 22/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 7f6y GF 12822/074
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Catterick45th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength73%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/07/20265th2/189%56%-0.34