11
Bajan Bandit
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 60
Haydock · Find Your Zyn Moment Stride Handicap · 6f 212y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Beverley | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Nottingham | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength80%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 05/02/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 28/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |
| 25/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |