4
Criminal Shore
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 73
Haydock · Find Your Zyn Moment Stride Handicap · 6f 212y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Redcar | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 17th | 16th | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Musselburgh | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 20/04/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 69% | +0.06 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 22% | -0.46 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 12/06/2026 | 17th | 20/1 | 0% | 16% | +0.16 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |