7
Evocative Spark
7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 71
Haydock · Find Your Zyn Moment Stride Handicap · 6f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Catterick | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Doncaster | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Southwell | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 07/11/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 24/11/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/02/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 02/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |