9
Invincible Ruby
4yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 68
Haydock · Find Your Zyn Moment Stride Handicap · 6f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Carlisle | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Pontefract | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hamilton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 30% | +0.25 |
| 12/04/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/05/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/05/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/06/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |