Montezin
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 73
Haydock · Find Your Zyn Moment Stride Handicap · 6f 212y
#9
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Doncaster | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-15 | York | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Newbury | 3 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2025-11-24 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 17/04/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 46% | -0.30 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |