Potomac River
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 71
Haydock · Find Your Zyn Moment Stride Handicap · 6f 212y
#11
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Yarmouth | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Doncaster | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Leicester | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.05 |
| 16/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 19/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 13/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 09/07/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |