5

Raffles Angel

5yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 72

Haydock · Find Your Zyn Moment Stride Handicap · 6f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful from 2 lb higher mark over 6f here last summer and arrives on the back of creditable thirds at Nottingham and Newbury (both 6f) in recent months. This is just her second start beyond a sprint trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 30/10/2024 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 76 · 6f Sta 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/10/2024 · OR 76 par30/104OR 764 @ Windsor 24/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 76 · 6f12y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/05/2025 · OR 76 par5 @ Chepstow 23/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 75 · 6f16y Goo 142 · beat its mark23/06/2025 · OR 75 par23/065OR 755 @ Haydock 18/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 74 · 6f Goo 139 · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 74 par4 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 77 · 6f20y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 77 par31/074OR 774 @ Ripon 26/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 77 · 6f Goo 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 77 par4 @ Lingfield 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 76 · 6f Sft 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 76 par6/064OR 765 @ Nottingham 20/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 74 · 6f18y Goo 134 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Newbury 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 73 · 6f GF 141 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 73 par23/075OR 73projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Newbury53rd3rd0
2026-06-20Nottingham53rd3rd0
2026-06-06Lingfield46th5th+1
2025-08-26Ripon49th8th+1
2025-07-31Wolverhampton48th7th+1
2025-07-18Haydock51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1018/076/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength63%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20248th6/168%30%-0.38
24/05/20255th5/174%20%-0.54
23/06/20254th9/153%57%+0.05
18/07/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
31/07/20258th12/137%42%+0.05
26/08/20259th9/276%27%-0.49
06/06/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
20/06/20263rd6/168%50%-0.18
23/07/20263rd8/158%71%+0.14