Jeremiahtwentynine
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 64
Monmouth Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2025-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 30/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |