Agarramesipuedes
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 72
Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 18/01/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 08/02/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 11/04/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 11/05/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |