7
Crypto Man
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 77
Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 07/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |