5
Fluff The Pillow
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 71
Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2024 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 29/12/2024 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 02/03/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 13/04/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 26/05/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 01/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |