4

Fromanothamutha

7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 74

Monmouth Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/7

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength59%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Aqueduct 22/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 92 · 1m Fas 121 · below its mark22/03/2025 · OR 92 par22/03C8OR 92C8 @ Aqueduct 13/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 98 · 1m Slo 121 · below its mark13/04/2025 · OR 98 parC8 @ Saratoga 03/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 94 · 1m1f Fas 123 · below its mark03/07/2025 · OR 94 par3/07C8OR 94C8 @ Saratoga 13/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 94 · 7f 122 · below its mark13/08/2025 · OR 94 parC8 @ Belmont At The Big A 26/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 90 · 6f 121 · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 90 par26/09C8OR 90C7 @ Belmont At The Big A 18/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 89 parC5 @ Laurel Park 07/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 91 par7/11C5OR 91C5 @ Laurel Park 27/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 92 · 1m1f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 92 parC8 @ Penn National 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 73 · 1m70y 125 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 73 par30/07C8OR 73projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Penn National?1st1st0
2025-12-27Laurel Park?6th3rd+3
2025-11-07Laurel Park?7th4th+3
2025-10-18Belmont At The Big A?4th3rd+1
2025-09-26Belmont At The Big A?1st1st0
2025-08-13Saratoga?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0313/087/1130/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength78%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20254th9/276%40%-0.36
13/04/20256th12/137%17%-0.20
03/07/20253rd5/174%71%-0.02
13/08/20256th5/287%0%-0.87
26/09/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
18/10/20254th40/10%50%+0.50
07/11/20257th5/174%25%-0.49
27/12/20256th4/179%0%-0.79
30/07/20261st4/797%100%+0.03