8
The Great Oscar
4yo Gelding · 8-6
Monmouth Park · Race 4 - Starter Handicap · 1m 1f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 21/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |