1
Gold Light
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 87
Monmouth Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength96%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |
| 08/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 06/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |