2
Marble Hall
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 79
Monmouth Park · Race 5 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-05-14 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 11/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |