4
Ali's Hannah
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 53
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Meadowlands | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Meadowlands | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 16/02/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/03/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 24/08/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/09/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |