1
Dakota Cam
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 75
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 71% | -0.23 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |