5
Enchant
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 74
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
1/2
Win Prob
57%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 28/01/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 22/02/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 01/04/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 24/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |