8
Madam Prosecutor
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 75
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 26/09/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 28/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 01/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 26/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |