Only You
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 73
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 13/08/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 31/10/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 08/01/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 23/01/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |