Radar Loop
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 79
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |