6
Red Haired Gal
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 75
Monmouth Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Meadowlands | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Meadowlands | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 21/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 17/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |