Liberty Looming
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 45
Musselburgh · Champagne Pommery Brut Rose Handicap · 1m 208y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 7.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Southwell | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2025-06-04 | Newton Abbot | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2025-05-11 | Plumpton | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-04-09 | Taunton | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-03-25 | Taunton | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2024 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 02/10/2024 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 24/01/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 10/02/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 11/03/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/03/2025 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/04/2025 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/05/2025 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |