Miners Gamble
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 52
Musselburgh · Champagne Pommery Brut Rose Handicap · 1m 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Southwell | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 20/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 01/01/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 17/01/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 27% | -0.54 |
| 05/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 46% | -0.25 |
| 26/06/2026 | 13th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |