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Barnaby Rudge

2yo Colt · 9-12 · OR 87

Musselburgh · British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 1y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

62,000 gns Inns of Court colt. Hooded and was a rare debut winner for the stable in 9-runner 5f novice at Nottingham in June before following up under a penalty at Newcastle (strong form). Type to go on improving and much respected despite having to concede plenty of weight to his rivals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Nottingham 11/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f8y GS 13311/0652 @ Newcastle 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f Sta 13627/062projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Newcastle21st1st0
2026-06-11Nottingham51st5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0627/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength81%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
27/06/20261st15/890%100%+0.10