5

Faith In Florence
2yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 80
Musselburgh · British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 1y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Newbury | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-18 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength73%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |