5

Faith In Florence

2yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 80

Musselburgh · British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 1y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on debut promise when second of 11 in maiden at Newbury (6f, firm) 21 days ago, headed final strides. In good hands and likely to progress further.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength6%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 18/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f3y GF 12818/0644 @ Newbury 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f GF 12817/074projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Newbury42nd4th2
2026-06-18Yarmouth44th6th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength73%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20264th9/153%67%+0.14
17/07/20262nd5/493%90%-0.03