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Minster Man

2yo Colt · 9-4

Musselburgh · British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 1y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

£78,000 2-y-o, Blackbeard colt. Dam, 5f/6f winner, half-sister to smart 5f/6f winner A Momentofmadness. Has a speedy pedigree and shaped with plenty of encouragement when second in 4-runner novice at Yarmouth (5f) on debut 15 days ago. Open to improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Yarmouth 23/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 5f42y GF 13023/074
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Yarmouth42nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20262nd10/147%67%+0.19