Bigalo
2yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 67
Musselburgh · Copper Blossom Ladies Day Nursery Selling Handicap · 7f 15y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Musselburgh | 6 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Catterick | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | York | 2 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-18 | Ripon | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Redcar | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |